EXP-RNSH-G2

informative

Ratchet Null (shuffled-input null model) — G2

2026-03-27 L6 level paper3 2 runs $0.00

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In plain language

Researchers tested a simplified version of a system where inputs were randomly shuffled to see if it could make predictions. However, the test was not extensive enough to draw any conclusions.

What we found

UNDERPOWERED (N=1): No predictions scored

Predictions we made before running

0/1 confirmed

▶ Technical details

Research hypothesis

G2 of shuffled-input null model. 3 agent(s) × 10 rounds.

Experimental setup

Type: single_condition

Condition	Parameters
G2_NULL	persona: PERSONA, interaction: LIVE

Factors: persona (PERSONA) × interaction (LIVE)

Parameters

n_agents: 3
n_rounds: 10
model: gemini-2.5-flash-lite
temperature: 0.9
scheduler: round_robin

Trophic Ratios by Condition

Mean trophic ratio per agent across runs. Error bars = ±1 std dev. Higher TR = more upstream (exporter).

Series (2 experiments)

exp-rnsh-g3