exp-target-distance-trajectory (2026-05-03) showed Levin claim (i) FAILS for LLM substrate: agents drift their targets 0.5-0.7 cosine across rounds, and the modest distance(current,target) decrease is confounded with target movement. Steel-man-as-idea: maybe target drift is the ACTIVE INGREDIENT in coupling-induced specialization. If we PIN target_concept (force agent to keep initial goal as literal target, no redefinition), does specialization still emerge? Pre-registered prediction: - PINNED preserves cross/own ratio ≤ 0.85 (specialization stable) → drift incidental - PINNED ratio rises toward 1.5+ (specialization breaks) → drift active ingredient (negotiation > pursuit)
- PINNED progress drops vs baseline COUPLED (0.721 mean) → target rigidity hurts
Either outcome substantively informs paper5: drift-as-feature vs drift-as-noise.